Kodi kufunikira kwa chitsulo padziko lonse lapansi kudzasintha bwanji mu 2023? Malinga ndi zotsatira za zomwe zanenedweratu zomwe zatulutsidwa ndi Metallurgical Industry Planning and Research Institute posachedwapa, kufunikira kwa chitsulo padziko lonse lapansi mu 2023 kudzawonetsa makhalidwe awa:
Asia. Mu 2022, kukula kwachuma ku Asia kudzakumana ndi mavuto akuluakulu chifukwa cha kuuma kwa zachuma padziko lonse lapansi, mkangano pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine, komanso kuchepa kwa kukula kwachuma ku China. Poyang'ana patsogolo ku 2023, Asia ili pamalo abwino pakukula kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi, ndipo ikuyembekezeka kulowa mu gawo la kuchepa kwa kukwera kwa mitengo mwachangu, ndipo kuchuluka kwachuma chake kudzaposa madera ena. International Monetary Fund (IMF) ikuyembekeza kuti chuma cha ku Asia chidzakula ndi 4.3% mu 2023. Malinga ndi chigamulo chonse, kufunikira kwa chitsulo cha ku Asia mu 2023 kuli pafupifupi matani 1.273 biliyoni, kuwonjezeka ndi 0.5% pachaka.
Europe. Pambuyo pa mkanganowu, mavuto padziko lonse lapansi okhudzana ndi unyolo wopereka zinthu, mphamvu ndi mitengo ya chakudya zikupitirira kukwera, mu 2023 chuma cha ku Europe chidzakumana ndi mavuto akulu komanso kusatsimikizika, kukwera kwa mitengo chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa ntchito zachuma, kusowa kwa mphamvu kwa mavuto a chitukuko cha mafakitale, kukwera kwa mitengo ya moyo ndi chidaliro cha makampani pazachuma chidzakhala chitukuko cha zachuma ku Europe. Mwachidule, kufunikira kwa chitsulo ku Europe mu 2023 kuli pafupifupi matani 193 miliyoni, kutsika ndi 1.4% pachaka.
South America. Mu 2023, chifukwa cha kukwera kwa mitengo ya zinthu padziko lonse lapansi, mayiko ambiri ku South America adzakumana ndi mavuto akuluakulu kuti ayambenso chuma chawo, kuwongolera kukwera kwa mitengo ya zinthu ndikupanga ntchito, ndipo kukula kwachuma chawo kudzachepa. International Monetary Fund ikuneneratu kuti chuma cha ku South America chidzakula ndi 1.6% mu 2023. Pakati pa izi, zomangamanga, nyumba ndi mapulojekiti amagetsi obwezerezedwanso, madoko, mapulojekiti amafuta ndi gasi akuyembekezeka kukwera, chifukwa cha kufunikira kwa chitsulo ku Brazil, zomwe zikutsogolera kukwera kwa kufunikira kwa chitsulo ku South America. Ponseponse, kufunikira kwa chitsulo ku South America kudafika pafupifupi matani 42.44 miliyoni, kukwera ndi 1.9% pachaka.
Africa. Chuma cha Africa chinakula mofulumira mu 2022. Chifukwa cha mkangano pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine, mitengo ya mafuta padziko lonse yakwera kwambiri, ndipo mayiko ena aku Europe asintha kufunikira kwawo kwa mphamvu kupita ku Africa, zomwe zathandiza kwambiri chuma cha Africa.
Bungwe la International Monetary Fund likuneneratu kuti chuma cha Africa chidzakula ndi 3.7 peresenti chaka chilichonse mu 2023. Popeza mitengo yamafuta ikukwera komanso ntchito zambiri zomanga nyumba zayamba, kufunikira kwa chitsulo ku Africa kukuyembekezeka kufika matani 41.3 miliyoni mu 2023, kukwera ndi 5.1% pachaka.
Ku Middle East. Mu 2023, kuchira kwachuma ku Middle East kudzadalira mitengo yamafuta padziko lonse lapansi, njira zodzipatula, kuchuluka kwa mfundo zothandizira kukula, komanso njira zochepetsera kuwonongeka kwachuma komwe kwachitika chifukwa cha mliriwu. Nthawi yomweyo, ndale za dziko ndi zinthu zina zidzabweretsa kusatsimikizika pakukula kwachuma ku Middle East. International Monetary Fund ikuneneratu kuti ku Middle East kudzakula ndi 5% mu 2023. Malinga ndi chigamulo chonse, kufunikira kwa chitsulo ku Middle East mu 2023 kuli pafupifupi matani 51 miliyoni, kuwonjezeka ndi 2% pachaka.
Oceania. Mayiko omwe amagwiritsa ntchito kwambiri zitsulo ku Oceania ndi Australia ndi New Zealand. Mu 2022, ntchito zachuma ku Australia zinayamba kuyenda bwino pang'onopang'ono, ndipo chidaliro cha mabizinesi chinawonjezeka. Chuma cha New Zealand chabwerera m'mbuyo, chifukwa cha kuchira kwa ntchito ndi zokopa alendo. Bungwe la International Monetary Fund likuneneratu kuti Australia ndi New Zealand zonse zidzakula ndi 1.9% mu 2023. Malinga ndi zomwe zanenedweratu, kufunikira kwa zitsulo ku Oceania mu 2023 kuli pafupifupi matani 7.10 miliyoni, kuwonjezeka ndi 2.9% pachaka.
Malinga ndi momwe zinthu zinalili kale, kusintha kwa kufunika kwa chitsulo m'madera akuluakulu padziko lonse lapansi, mu 2022, kugwiritsa ntchito chitsulo ku Asia, Europe, mayiko a Commonwealth of Independent States ndi South America onse adawonetsa kutsika. Pakati pawo, mayiko a CIS ndi omwe adakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi mkangano pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine, ndipo chitukuko cha zachuma cha mayiko m'derali chidasokonekera kwambiri, pomwe kugwiritsa ntchito chitsulo kudatsika ndi 8.8% pachaka. Kugwiritsa ntchito chitsulo ku North America, Africa, Middle East ndi Oceania kudawonetsa kukwera, ndi kukula kwa chaka ndi chaka kwa 0.9%, 2.9%, 2.1% ndi 4.5% motsatana. Mu 2023, kufunikira kwa chitsulo m'maiko a CIS ndi Europe kukuyembekezeka kupitirira kuchepa, pomwe kufunikira kwa chitsulo m'madera ena kudzawonjezeka pang'ono.
Kuchokera pakusintha kwa mawonekedwe a kufunikira kwa chitsulo m'madera osiyanasiyana, mu 2023, kufunikira kwa chitsulo cha ku Asia padziko lonse lapansi kudzakhalabe pafupifupi 71%; kufunikira kwa chitsulo ku Europe ndi North America kudzakhalabe kwachiwiri ndi kwachitatu, kufunikira kwa chitsulo ku Europe kudzatsika ndi 0.2 peresenti kufika pa 10.7%, kufunikira kwa chitsulo ku North America kudzawonjezeka ndi 0.3 peresenti kufika pa 7.5%. Mu 2023, kufunikira kwa chitsulo m'maiko a CIS kudzatsika kufika pa 2.8%, mofanana ndi ku Middle East; komwe ku Africa ndi South America kudzakwera kufika pa 2.3% ndi 2.4% motsatana.
Ponseponse, malinga ndi kusanthula kwa chitukuko cha zachuma padziko lonse lapansi komanso m'madera osiyanasiyana komanso kufunikira kwa chitsulo, kufunikira kwa chitsulo padziko lonse lapansi kukuyembekezeka kufika matani 1.801 biliyoni mu 2023, ndi kukula kwa chaka ndi chaka kwa 0.4%.
Nthawi yotumizira: Juni-26-2023